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Thursday, 19 November 2009

  • Stupid Brazil

    I am angry about my PBR position. Stupid Brazilians just created a new 2% tax on ADRs (PBR being one of them), because they think its going to stop their inflation. So the efficient market corrected itself yesterday and today to the tune of 2%.

Monday, 16 November 2009

  • My Next Big Position

    I just bought long into PBR, which is the state owned oil behemoth of Brazil. This is in part a currency play, and a commodity play and a long term reserves hedge.

    The charts for the last couple of months are textbook up-trend with all moving averages rising above the older, yet hasn't hit the top of their bollinger bands so I don't believe it probable for a pull back for at least another few percentage points. Brazil's currency situation and inflow of investment is rising. Weak dollar translates to demand for commodities, means that oil produced is worth more.

    The hedge is best of all. I believe in the long term prospects for the company since they are developing one of the largest sources of oil in the world ... slated to come out of the ground in a few years from now. So the hedge is, that if everything goes to crap, then I feel confident holding the stock past 12 months.

    I set the limit sell point at 7% above.

    I am still bearish on the US economy, so all of the US index equity gains may be ephemeral at best. That is why my positions in gold and this foreign oil company are in my opinion less risky because of they do not necessarily correlate themselves to US indexes.

    Good luck investors.
  • My Next Big Position

    I just bought long into PBR, which is the state owned oil behemoth of Brazil. This is in part a currency play, and a commodity play and a long term reserves hedge.

    The charts for the last couple of months are textbook up-trend with all moving averages rising above the older, yet hasn't hit the top of their bollinger bands so I don't believe it probable for a pull back for at least another few percentage points. Brazil's currency situation and inflow of investment is rising. Weak dollar translates to demand for commodities, means that oil produced is worth more.

    The hedge is best of all. I believe in the long term prospects for the company since they are developing one of the largest sources of oil in the world ... slated to come out of the ground in a few years from now. So the hedge is, that if everything goes to crap, then I feel confident holding the stock past 12 months.

    I set the limit sell point at 7% above.

    I am still bearish on the US economy, so all of the US index equity gains may be ephemeral at best. That is why my positions in gold and this foreign oil company are in my opinion less risky because of they do not necessarily correlate themselves to US indexes.

    Good luck investors.
  • Next Big Position

    I just bought long into PBR, which is the state owned oil behemoth of Brazil. This is in part a currency play, and a commodity play and a long term reserves hedge.

    The charts for the last couple of months are textbook up-trend with all moving averages rising above the older, yet hasn't hit the top of their bollinger bands so I don't believe it probable for a pull back for at least another few percentage points. Brazil's currency situation and inflow of investment is rising. Weak dollar translates to demand for commodities, means that oil produced is worth more.

    The hedge is best of all. I believe in the long term prospects for the company since they are developing one of the largest sources of oil in the world ... slated to come out of the ground in a few years from now. So the hedge is, that if everything goes to crap, then I feel confident holding the stock past 12 months.

    I set the limit sell point at 7% above.

    I am still bearish on the US economy, so all of the US index equity gains may be ephemeral at best. That is why my positions in gold and this foreign oil company are in my opinion less risky because of they do not necessarily correlate themselves to US indexes.

    Good luck investors.

Wednesday, 04 November 2009

  • Gold

    Hello Xanga friends,

    I will let you in on a secret that I am not posting onto facebook. I just bought heavy into the ishares ETF: GLD which reflects the underlying price of gold. Thus far I've seen it move forward, even if equities haven't. I think it is a good long term investment, or at least a hedge against inflationary pressures. Good luck to you all.

    JF

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JustinFong

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    • Name: Justin J.
    • State: Connecticut
    • Birthday: 5/8/1984
    • Gender: Male
    • Member Since: 5/31/2003

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